Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#211
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#206
Pace70.9#152
Improvement-1.4#242

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#294
First Shot-1.3#221
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#344
Layup/Dunks-1.6#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#196
Freethrows+0.4#146
Improvement-0.5#210

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#124
First Shot-0.2#175
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#21
Layups/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
Freethrows-0.7#226
Improvement-0.8#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2015 320   Hartford W 85-68 84%     1 - 0 +3.0 -1.9 +3.9
  Nov 18, 2015 309   @ SIU Edwardsville W 70-60 64%     2 - 0 +2.9 -11.2 +13.2
  Nov 21, 2015 274   St. Francis Brooklyn W 76-60 75%     3 - 0 +5.8 +5.9 +0.7
  Nov 24, 2015 178   North Florida W 70-57 52%     4 - 0 +9.2 -11.9 +21.0
  Nov 28, 2015 11   Louisville L 57-77 4%     4 - 1 -3.0 +5.4 -12.0
  Dec 02, 2015 144   Morehead St. L 46-60 44%     4 - 2 -15.6 -22.7 +5.9
  Dec 05, 2015 24   Wichita St. L 53-68 9%     4 - 3 -3.4 -2.9 -2.7
  Dec 12, 2015 315   Alabama A&M W 75-58 83%     5 - 3 +3.7 -9.8 +12.7
  Dec 16, 2015 220   Tennessee Martin L 76-82 62%     5 - 4 -12.5 -7.7 -4.3
  Dec 19, 2015 165   Indiana St. L 68-76 50%     5 - 5 -11.3 -4.7 -6.4
  Dec 21, 2015 135   Southern Illinois L 52-65 41%     5 - 6 -13.9 -17.7 +2.8
  Dec 29, 2015 49   @ Kansas St. L 47-75 7%     5 - 7 -14.7 -19.2 +5.3
  Jan 02, 2016 90   @ Rhode Island L 57-85 13%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -18.8 -1.6 -21.4
  Jan 06, 2016 72   George Washington W 65-62 22%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +7.8 -3.4 +11.4
  Jan 10, 2016 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 56-72 13%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -7.2 -9.8 +2.3
  Jan 13, 2016 151   @ Duquesne L 71-81 25%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -6.3 -9.9 +4.9
  Jan 17, 2016 196   George Mason L 79-92 57%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -18.0 +0.6 -17.9
  Jan 20, 2016 105   Davidson W 96-87 31%     7 - 11 2 - 4 +11.0 +9.9 +0.2
  Jan 23, 2016 162   @ Massachusetts W 86-75 28%     8 - 11 3 - 4 +13.9 +8.9 +4.1
  Jan 27, 2016 58   @ Dayton L 37-73 8%     8 - 12 3 - 5 -23.7 -26.5 +2.6
  Jan 30, 2016 151   Duquesne L 67-78 45%     8 - 13 3 - 6 -13.1 -15.3 +3.5
  Feb 07, 2016 83   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-65 12%     8 - 14 3 - 7 +6.7 -6.2 +12.8
  Feb 10, 2016 103   Richmond L 53-67 30%     8 - 15 3 - 8 -11.9 -18.9 +6.0
  Feb 13, 2016 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 52-85 6%     8 - 16 3 - 9 -18.4 -12.8 -5.2
  Feb 17, 2016 196   @ George Mason W 79-77 OT 35%     9 - 16 4 - 9 +2.8 +1.3 +1.4
  Feb 20, 2016 148   Fordham W 76-68 45%     10 - 16 5 - 9 +6.1 -0.8 +6.4
  Feb 23, 2016 58   Dayton L 49-52 OT 18%     10 - 17 5 - 10 +3.5 -21.1 +24.8
  Feb 28, 2016 44   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-77 7%     10 - 18 5 - 11 -0.4 -6.2 +5.9
  Mar 02, 2016 250   @ La Salle L 68-76 47%     10 - 19 5 - 12 -10.5 -6.2 -4.2
  Mar 05, 2016 83   St. Bonaventure L 67-76 25%     10 - 20 5 - 13 -5.1 -4.5 -0.9
  Mar 09, 2016 196   George Mason W 83-78 46%     11 - 20 +2.9 +5.3 -2.8
  Mar 10, 2016 72   George Washington L 65-73 15%     11 - 21 -0.2 -3.1 +2.6
Projected Record 11.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%